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🏷️ Political Event Classification Template — European Parliament

📌 Template Instructions: Copy this file to analysis/YYYY-MM-DD/{article-type-slug}/ and rename to {event-slug}-classification.md. Replace all [REQUIRED] and [OPTIONAL] placeholders with actual values. See methodologies/political-classification-guide.md for full methodology. MCP data is at analysis/YYYY-MM-DD/{article-type-slug}/data/.

🚨 Anti-Pattern Warning: Plain prose without structured tables, Mermaid diagrams, or evidence citations is REJECTED. Every classification file MUST follow this template exactly: metadata header, structured tables with evidence columns, colour-coded Mermaid diagram, confidence labels on all claims. See methodologies/ai-driven-analysis-guide.md for good vs. bad examples. Never use scripted boilerplate — AI must analyse the actual document.

🔴 AI ANALYSIS REQUIRED: Every field in this template MUST be filled by the AI agent through genuine analysis of the EP data. Never use scripted defaults, template placeholders in final output, or data-count summaries. Analyse what the data MEANS politically.

🔴 Classification Data Sources (NEW): Political alignment scores (Left-Right 1-10) MUST be derived from actual voting patterns, not assumed from group labels. Use get_voting_records for the relevant plenary session, or analyze_coalition_dynamics for structural composition. If voting data is unavailable, note "alignment score estimated from group composition, not verified voting data" and cap confidence at MEDIUM.

📋 Document Metadata

Field Value
Classification ID [REQUIRED: CLS-YYYY-MM-DD-NNN]
Document Type Political Event Classification
Event Date [REQUIRED: YYYY-MM-DD]
Classification Date [REQUIRED: YYYY-MM-DD HH:MM UTC]
Primary EP Reference [REQUIRED: EP procedure ID, document ref, or MCP data file path]
Secondary Source(s) [OPTIONAL: Additional references, comma-separated]
Classified By [REQUIRED: workflow name, e.g. news-week-ahead]

🏷️ Classification Dimensions

1. Sensitivity Level

  • 🟢 PUBLIC — Routine EP activity; freely publishable
  • 🟡 SENSITIVE — Politically charged; requires careful framing
  • 🔴 RESTRICTED — Legal sensitivity; requires editorial review

Sensitivity Rationale: [REQUIRED: 1–2 sentences]

2. Policy Domain

Primary Domain: [REQUIRED: EP committee code, e.g. ECON, LIBE, ENVI] Secondary Domain(s): [OPTIONAL: up to two additional committee codes]

3. Urgency Level

  • ⚪ ROUTINE — Standard legislative process
  • 🔵 ELEVATED — Active committee review or vote within 2 weeks
  • 🟠 URGENT — Plenary vote within 48 hours or emergency debate
  • 🔴 CRITICAL — Institutional crisis, Article 7, or emergency session

Urgency Rationale: [REQUIRED: 1–2 sentences]

4. Impact Scope

  • 🏘️ NATIONAL — Affects specific member state(s) only
  • 🇪🇺 EU-WIDE — Affects all EU citizens or institutions
  • 🌍 INTERNATIONAL — External relations, trade, or global dimension

🗺️ Classification Overview Diagram

Every classification file includes a color-coded overview diagram that places this event on the four classification axes. Use the Hack23 theme palette (blue=input, green=safe, orange=caution, red=critical, purple=synthesis).

%%{init: {"theme":"dark","themeVariables":{"primaryColor":"#1565C0","primaryTextColor":"#ffffff","primaryBorderColor":"#0A3F7F","lineColor":"#90CAF9","secondaryColor":"#2E7D32","secondaryTextColor":"#ffffff","tertiaryColor":"#FF9800","tertiaryTextColor":"#000000","mainBkg":"#1565C0","secondBkg":"#2E7D32","tertiaryBkg":"#FF9800","noteBkgColor":"#FFC107","noteTextColor":"#000000","errorBkgColor":"#D32F2F","fontFamily":"Inter, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif"}}}%%
flowchart LR
    E["🏷️ Event<br/>[REQUIRED: short name]"] --> S["Sensitivity<br/>[🟢 PUBLIC / 🟡 SENSITIVE / 🔴 RESTRICTED]"]
    E --> D["Policy Domain<br/>[REQUIRED: primary committee]"]
    E --> U["Urgency<br/>[⚪ / 🔵 / 🟠 / 🔴]"]
    E --> I["Impact Scope<br/>[🏘️ / 🇪🇺 / 🌍]"]
    E --> C["Composite Risk<br/>[max L×I from matrix]"]

    style E fill:#1565C0,color:#ffffff
    style D fill:#0288D1,color:#ffffff
    style I fill:#7B1FA2,color:#ffffff
    %% [REQUIRED: Set S (Sensitivity) fill to match selected level — 🟢 #2E7D32 / 🟡 #FFC107 / 🔴 #D32F2F]
    %% [REQUIRED: Set U (Urgency) fill to match selected level — ⚪ #90A4AE / 🔵 #0288D1 / 🟠 #FF9800 / 🔴 #D32F2F]
    %% [REQUIRED: Set C (Composite Risk) fill to match max L×I band — 🟢 #2E7D32 (1–4) / 🟡 #FFC107 (5–9) / 🟠 #FF9800 (10–14) / 🔴 #D32F2F (15–25)]
    style S fill:#2E7D32,color:#ffffff
    style U fill:#FF9800,color:#000000
    style C fill:#D32F2F,color:#ffffff
Loading

The style S / U / C lines above are placeholders showing example default colours only. Replace each fill value to match the level you selected above, using the canonical palette from political-style-guide.md: 🟢 #2E7D32 / 🟡 #FFC107 / 🟠 #FF9800 / 🔴 #D32F2F / ⚪ #90A4AE / 🔵 #0288D1. In this template, 🟡 is always #FFC107 and 🟠 is always #FF9800, so a reader scanning the diagram alone can read the classification at a glance.

📊 Impact Analysis Matrix

Score likelihood and impact on 1–5 scale. Risk Score = Likelihood × Impact.

Dimension Likelihood (1–5) Impact (1–5) Risk Score Notes
Democratic Process [#] [#] [L×I] [OPTIONAL]
Economic Impact [#] [#] [L×I] [OPTIONAL]
Social Cohesion [#] [#] [L×I] [OPTIONAL]
Coalition Stability [#] [#] [L×I] [OPTIONAL]
International Relations [#] [#] [L×I] [OPTIONAL]

Composite Risk Score: [REQUIRED: max of the above scores]

📊 7-Dimension Classification Scores

Dimension Level Numeric (10–100)
Public Interest Sensitivity [explosive/sensitive/standard/routine] [#]
Democratic Integrity Impact [critical/significant/moderate/minor] [#]
Policy Urgency [immediate/short-term/medium-term/long-term] [#]
Economic Impact [transformative/major/moderate/minimal] [#]
Governance Impact [systemic/significant/procedural/routine] [#]
Political Capital Impact [career-defining/significant/notable/negligible] [#]
Legislative Impact [treaty-level/directive/regulation/administrative] [#]

Weighted Classification Score: [REQUIRED: apply weights from methodology guide] Overall Classification: [REQUIRED: CRITICAL / HIGH / MEDIUM / LOW]

🔖 Cross-Reference Tags

Primary Actors:     [REQUIRED: political groups or MEPs, e.g. "EPP, S&D, ECR"]
Committee:          [OPTIONAL: e.g. "ENVI", "LIBE"]
Parliamentary Term: [REQUIRED: e.g. "2024-2029"]
Related Procedures: [OPTIONAL: EP procedure IDs]
MCP Data Files:     [REQUIRED: paths to analysis/YYYY-MM-DD/{article-type-slug}/data/ files used]

📝 Classification Rationale

Summary of Event

[REQUIRED: 2–4 sentences describing the event, key actors, and EP context. Cite specific document IDs, committee names, and MEP names.]

Classification Justification

[REQUIRED: Explain why each dimension was assigned its value. Reference evidence from MCP data files.]

Confidence Assessment

  • Source Quality: [HIGH / MEDIUM / LOW] — [reason]
  • Information Completeness: [HIGH / MEDIUM / LOW] — [reason]
  • Overall Confidence: [HIGH / MEDIUM / LOW]

Recommended Action

  • 📰 Publish — Include in next news cycle (significance ≥ 6)
  • ⚡ Breaking — Publish immediately (significance ≥ 8 + URGENT/CRITICAL)
  • 📋 Monitor — Track for follow-up; do not publish standalone
  • 🗄️ Archive — Low significance; archive for trend analysis only

📊 Calibration Example (Filled)

This example demonstrates how to complete the template for a real EP event. Use it as a scoring anchor.

Event: Plenary adoption of revised Emissions Trading System extension (ETS III)

Field Value
Classification ID CLS-2026-03-15-001
Document Type Political Event Classification
Event Date 2026-03-15
Classification Date 2026-03-15 16:00 UTC
Primary EP Reference P9_TA(2026)0095
Classified By news-breaking
Dimension Value Justification
Sensitivity 🟡 SENSITIVE ETS extension involves cross-group tensions; Greens/EFA and ECR oppose from opposing directions
Primary Domain ENVI Environment committee lead; secondary: ITRE, ECON
Urgency 🟠 URGENT Final plenary vote; no further amendment possible
Impact Scope 🇪🇺 EU-WIDE Affects all EU member states; maritime and aviation sectors EU-wide
Dimension Likelihood (1–5) Impact (1–5) Risk Score
Democratic Process 2 2 4
Economic Impact 4 5 20
Social Cohesion 3 3 9
Coalition Stability 3 4 12
International Relations 4 4 16

Composite Risk Score: 20 (Economic Impact — max)

7-Dimension Score Level Numeric
Public Interest Sensitivity sensitive 70
Democratic Integrity Impact moderate 50
Policy Urgency immediate 90
Economic Impact major 80
Governance Impact significant 65
Political Capital Impact significant 70
Legislative Impact directive 75

Weighted Classification Score: 72/100 Overall Classification: HIGH Recommended Action: ⚡ Breaking (HIGH classification + URGENT urgency)

🗓️ Recess-Period Classification Rules

AI Instructions: During EP recess periods (August, December–January, and constituency weeks), apply the following modified classification rules. Recess periods adjust publication timing and urgency handling but do NOT change the raw significance score or classification. The raw score/classification remains as computed; only the recommended action (when/how to publish) is modified. This aligns with the significance-scoring template's distinction between raw scores and calendar-adjusted editorial decisions (see significance-scoring.md § EP Calendar Awareness).

Recess Period Detection

Period Typical Dates EP Activity Level Classification Impact
Summer Recess Late July – August ⚪ Minimal Urgency capped at ROUTINE unless institutional crisis
Winter Recess Late December – mid-January ⚪ Minimal Urgency capped at ROUTINE unless institutional crisis
Constituency Week Varies (check EP calendar) 🔵 Low Urgency downgraded by one level (URGENT→ELEVATED)
Pre-Plenary Week Monday before plenary 🟡 Moderate Standard rules apply; committee work concluding
Plenary Session Week Per EP calendar (Strasbourg/Brussels) 🟠 High Standard rules apply; full urgency scale

Recess Classification Overrides

Condition Standard Urgency Adjusted Urgency Recommended Action Rationale
Routine committee output during recess ROUTINE ROUTINE ARCHIVE No audience; queue for session return
ELEVATED event during constituency week ELEVATED ROUTINE MONITOR Reduced EP engagement; track for plenary week
URGENT event during summer recess URGENT ELEVATED MONITOR + PRE-POSITION Prepare analysis; publish when EP reconvenes
CRITICAL event during any recess (e.g., motion of censure) CRITICAL CRITICAL NO OVERRIDE / PUBLISH Constitutional/institutional crises override recess rules

Current Calendar Context

Field Value
Current EP Status [REQUIRED: e.g. "In Session (Plenary)" / "Constituency Week" / "Summer Recess"]
Recess Override Applied? [REQUIRED: YES (specify override) / NO]
Original Urgency [If overridden: original urgency level]
Adjusted Urgency [If overridden: adjusted urgency level]

Document Control:

  • Template Path: /analysis/templates/political-classification.md
  • Version: 2.2
  • Advanced Dimensions: Political Temperature Index, Strategic Significance, Coalition Impact Vector, Recess-Period Classification Rules
  • Framework Reference: methodologies/political-classification-guide.md
  • Classification: Public
  • Next Review: 2026-07-31